Daring-Pirate
0x5446fe5868e4e6da0ab784b005fe423df62218f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$17.4K
Total PnL
$486.33
Realised
$892.49
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
968 shares @ 67.1¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$643.72
$-5.55
- YES
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1192 shares @ 48.2¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$577.93
$3.56
- NO
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
580 shares @ 84.7¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$478.50
$-12.70
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
705 shares @ 63.8¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$454.47
$5.17
- NO
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
464 shares @ 90.1¢·now 96.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$445.90
$27.99
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
469 shares @ 77.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$424.44
$60.15
- YES
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
466 shares @ 78.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$393.41
$29.48
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?
494 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$377.91
$32.15
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
414 shares @ 71.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$374.67
$76.81
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1129 shares @ 42.4¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$366.93
$-112.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$268.53May 17, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.87May 17, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?$218.67May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?$52.70May 17, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by December 31?$63.59May 16, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$180.72May 16, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$192.90May 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$3.96May 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$199.48May 15, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$64.99May 15, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$79.22May 14, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Diehl win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$13.13May 14, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$72.87May 14, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Brennan be arrested before 2027?$21.14May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Letitia James be arrested before 2027?$38.83May 14, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$50.58May 14, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake feature Playboi Carti on ICEMAN?$14.25May 14, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Sara Brenner as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$1.22May 14, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$32.43May 14, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Stephen Hahn as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?$35.42May 14, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $80.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".