Quarterly-Bond
0x54a598106e0467dacc1a4ced3909582f72aaee3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$115.4K
Total PnL
$-17.1K
Realised
$5.9K
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
399152 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$66.5K
$2.5K
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
41200 shares @ 49.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.9K
$-2.6K
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
159660 shares @ 7.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.2K
$887.87
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
76973 shares @ 9.3¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.4K
$-718.01
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 8.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.5K
$125.00
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
21593 shares @ 58.6¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$-8.2K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
1245 shares @ 52.8¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$765.63
$108.47
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$685.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 45.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$365.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
2900 shares @ 34.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$333.49
$-652.49
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$94.17May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$13.08May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.21May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.1KMay 17, 16:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$29.68May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$13.22May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.79May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.4KMay 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$820.00May 16, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32.60May 16, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.44May 16, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.86May 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.58May 16, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.62May 16, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.17May 16, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.77May 16, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.27May 16, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.41May 16, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.59May 16, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".