Grand-Reasoning
0x54b56146656e7eef9da02b3a030c18e06e924b31
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$46.8K
Total PnL
$22.5K
Realised
$41.3K
Win rate
59%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- CANADIENS
Canadiens vs. Sabres
20000 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$9.7K
$100.00
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10363 shares @ 22.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.6K
$4.2K
- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 60.4¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.2K
$112.50
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
6000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$2.1K
- NO
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?
3857 shares @ 94.5¢·now 97.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$3.8K
$121.02
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
5000 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$-20.84
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
5000 shares @ 60.6¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.0K
$-55.19
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
2298 shares @ 52.3¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$120.01
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
1643 shares @ 76.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-44.26
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4000 shares @ 44.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$820.02
$-968.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$538.28May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$598.55May 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$25.27May 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?$230.73May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$525.21May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$63.15May 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$60.00May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?$12.32May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?$26.69May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$4.3KMay 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$2.88May 18, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$1.65May 18, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$184.62May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$308.45May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$75.55May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?$18.23May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$96.00May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$0.92May 18, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$4.49May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$4.83May 18, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $162.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".