Elated-Niche
0x54fc3e92c22b868edbf5a900f9a81ee158744330
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-69.91
Realised
$-44.05
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
2499 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.5K
$149.92
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
179 shares @ 49.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.57
$-49.34
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
71 shares @ 60.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.94
$-8.03
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
92 shares @ 36.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$25.32
$-7.83
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
993 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$17.39
$-20.27
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?
160 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$16.80
$-10.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$10.57
$0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 20?
27 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$8.27
$0.27
- YES
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.54
$0.54
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.37
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?$1.54May 19, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 20?$3.10May 19, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?$3.08May 19, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 20?$5.17May 19, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?$2.08May 19, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?$2.07May 19, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?$10.32May 19, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$23.50May 19, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$10.31May 19, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.56May 19, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$24.00May 19, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$24.02May 19, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$25.44May 19, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.60May 19, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?$15.69May 19, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 18, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 18, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.00May 18, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 18, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 18, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $58.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".