Sharp-Astrakhan
0x56456dff3a59eec8acf29806ef899ee923585d21
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$14.8K
Total PnL
$-208.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
7527 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.2K
$176.89
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
1573 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$32.82
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1607 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.5K
$18.79
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1266 shares @ 79.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$208.86
- NO
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
1136 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$82.39
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
1019 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$2.35
- NO
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
400 shares @ 75.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$290.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$119.30
$19.30
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
137 shares @ 72.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.16
$16.16
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
119 shares @ 84.1¢·now 89.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.12
$6.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$512.68May 16, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$357.67May 16, 10:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$1000.00May 14, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$500.00May 14, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 16?$100.24May 14, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on May 14?$205.13May 14, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 14?$315.81May 14, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 14?$550.69May 14, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 14?$1.4KMay 14, 20:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$3.06May 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$3.13May 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$3.14May 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on May 14?$200.25May 13, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C or higher on May 14?$300.75May 13, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on May 14?$250.80May 13, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $367.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".