Calm-Bag
0x569472742cd42e3fc04623f27238f50d3741bd0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$18.90
Total PnL
$-406.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on May 20?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$8.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 20?
8 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$7.88
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 20?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.99
$0.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.03
$-3.97
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
8 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.44
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
8 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.92
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
8 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
8 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.84
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 20?$8.00May 20, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on May 20?$7.91May 19, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C or higher on May 20?$7.98May 19, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 20?$2.86May 19, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on May 20?$7.60May 19, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 19?$7.98May 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on May 19?$7.98May 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on May 19?$7.98May 17, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on May 18?$7.98May 17, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 17?$8.00May 17, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 17?$8.00May 17, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on May 17?$8.00May 17, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C or below on May 17?$8.00May 17, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on May 17?$4.92May 17, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 17?$8.00May 17, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 17?$8.00May 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 18?$7.98May 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C or below on May 18?$7.98May 17, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on May 18?$7.98May 16, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on May 18?$7.98May 16, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 23:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".