Subdued-Lane
0x56b17d09dc4781fd49734c224091145ca9180e9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$140.64
Realised
$94.75
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
5712 shares @ 19.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$177.94
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
9921 shares @ 12.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$-64.42
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
409 shares @ 50.5¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$139.17
$-67.77
- YES
NATO article 5 before 2027?
31 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.77
$0.16
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.21
$0.20
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$221.97May 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$44.00May 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$11.00May 17, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$22.00May 17, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$70.95May 17, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$62.01May 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$58.13May 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$9.36May 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$16.49May 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$68.50May 17, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$61.43May 17, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.00May 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$4.22May 16, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$2.42May 16, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$1.10May 16, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$0.12May 16, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$193.63May 15, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$17.36May 15, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$200.00May 15, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$532.00May 15, 01:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $74.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".