Elegant-Insight
0x56e26857608289b4d2e8b5e479ade573f36f269b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-86.09
Realised
$9.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
760 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$338.20
$34.20
- YES
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
254 shares @ 78.7¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$217.19
$17.19
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
348 shares @ 57.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$203.62
$3.62
- NO
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
230 shares @ 43.4¢·now 54.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$124.28
$24.28
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
417 shares @ 30.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$70.86
$-54.14
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
166 shares @ 60.3¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$36.46
$-63.54
- NO
ECB rate hike in 2026?
169 shares @ 29.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.71
$-37.29
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.01May 14, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$12.59May 14, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.77May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$103.23May 13, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$102.26May 4, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$201.70May 4, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $142.86May 2, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$160.34Apr 30, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$20.21Apr 30, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$101.30Apr 30, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$70.15Apr 30, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$100.00Apr 22, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate hike in 2026?$50.00Apr 20, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $50.00Apr 19, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$100.00Apr 15, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00Apr 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$400.00Apr 13, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$139.29Apr 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$100.00Apr 10, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$0.00Mar 31, 12:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $115.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 11:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".