Grand-Beak
0x571581ccb605f35f0af032723cbfc5b3f4a41616
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$11.5K
Total PnL
$-18.2K
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
41%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
2970 shares @ 60.8¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$525.32
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
30294 shares @ 8.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.0K
$-632.62
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
8452 shares @ 22.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$-452.86
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26923 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.4K
$-13.43
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
22826 shares @ 6.3¢·now 4.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$-365.72
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
30840 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$940.63
$-337.08
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
18494 shares @ 4.6¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$850.72
$0.78
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$450.00
$-50.00
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
6333 shares @ 5.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$380.00
$30.01
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
1944 shares @ 10.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$243.06
$43.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$84.82May 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.16May 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$53.27May 18, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.58May 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$4.85May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.05May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.09May 18, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.09May 18, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.34May 18, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.50May 18, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.00May 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.00May 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.27May 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$20.58May 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$51.45May 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$102.89May 18, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$5.26May 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$10.00May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$103.52May 17, 23:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $108.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".