Clumsy-Sum
0x571e0184311138af68bda6a2b6ccec5e025c67b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$166.99
Total PnL
$-86.19
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?
79 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$43.65
$0.04
- YES
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
80 shares @ 45.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$33.20
$-3.20
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
60 shares @ 60.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
40 shares @ 55.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.40
$-10.60
- YES
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 48.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.50
$0.90
- NO
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
20 shares @ 63.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.90
$-2.70
- NO
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?
20 shares @ 46.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.90
$0.70
- NO
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.10
$-6.10
- NO
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
40 shares @ 24.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.00
$-5.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$0.00May 18, 02:34 UTC
- REWARD$1.51May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$53.19May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)$25.55May 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$25.40May 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$8.80May 17, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$2.46May 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$4.84May 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$1.71May 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$9.20May 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$9.40May 17, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?$0.00May 16, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?$0.00May 16, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fervo Energy's market cap be at least $10.0B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 16, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?$0.00May 16, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?$20.00May 15, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Pinocchio" be said on ICEMAN?$20.00May 15, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$25.64May 15, 03:42 UTC
- REWARD$3.16May 15, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$20.00May 14, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $10.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".