0x579525f549fbde8edf88b34680eb58cd4fb030fa
0x579525f549fbde8edf88b34680eb58cd4fb030fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$386.07
Total PnL
$-722.75
Realised
$-356.64
Win rate
38%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
60 shares @ 98.0¢·now 91.6¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$55.32
$-3.84
- NO
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
50 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.47
$0.60
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
32 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$31.54
$0.04
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
40 shares @ 38.3¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.74
$4.31
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
11 shares @ 93.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$11.15
$0.52
- YES
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3182 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.14
$-1.68
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.08
$1.08
- NO
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.02
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump dance today?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
9 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.33
$0.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Switzerland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 18, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?$9.65May 18, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump dance today?$0.00May 18, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 18, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$19.48May 18, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$0.00May 18, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$0.00May 18, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 18, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$0.78May 17, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.38May 17, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.10May 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.57May 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$0.13May 17, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.16May 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.17May 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$3.29May 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$0.27May 17, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.56May 17, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.06May 17, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".