Silent-Obsidian
0x57b00c3ccef1b6bd6962fb9ca463c4e0b38e76f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$38.4K
Total PnL
$2.2K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?
11395 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$11.4K
$247.41
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
4791 shares @ 63.1¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.5K
$497.83
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
2138 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$73.91
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2000 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.0K
$3.00
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
2026 shares @ 61.4¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$336.14
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
1500 shares @ 84.9¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$157.00
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
1600 shares @ 64.7¢·now 77.3¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.2K
$201.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3980 shares @ 30.1¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$16.99
- NO
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
981 shares @ 90.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$951.86
$65.50
- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
1000 shares @ 93.4¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$951.50
$17.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$240.55May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$36.04May 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$112.60May 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.01May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$410.00May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$398.00May 18, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$497.50May 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$497.50May 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$497.50May 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$49.06May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$60.05May 18, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$11.84May 18, 01:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.00May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$991.00May 17, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be greater than 85%?$3.29May 17, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$456.81May 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$148.19May 17, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$111.10May 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$264.42May 17, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$78.00May 17, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $325.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".