Assured-Warming
0x59314a635242711642a70663ea74cc8270c78ecb
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-301.12
Realised
$2.38
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 24?
222 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 1?
110 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 1?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 1?
110 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 1?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on May 1?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 20?$0.41May 20, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 20?$0.21May 20, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 21?$0.12May 20, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 20?$0.40May 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 21?$0.50May 20, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 20?$1.20May 20, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 20?$1.20May 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 21?$0.02May 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 21?$0.78May 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 21?$0.30May 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on May 21?$0.28May 20, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 20?$0.11May 20, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?$0.35May 20, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?$0.04May 20, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 21?$0.01May 20, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 21?$0.80May 20, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 20?$1.00May 19, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 21?$0.40May 19, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong$2.00May 19, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $0.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".