Shimmering-Corruption
0x5968454ab9fa39745d5d4adf78f23b80ebe53fc4
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.8K
Total PnL
$78.71
Realised
$413.13
Win rate
48%
84 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4466 shares @ 82.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.4K
$768.05
- NO
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
411 shares @ 58.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$310.97
$72.39
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
295 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$281.72
$7.37
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
999 shares @ 41.8¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$244.84
$-172.81
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
458 shares @ 54.9¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$212.97
$-38.55
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
456 shares @ 56.1¢·now 42.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$191.52
$-64.46
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
999 shares @ 84.4¢·now 18.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$188.83
$-654.65
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
174 shares @ 56.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$150.53
$51.79
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
150 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$135.75
$-0.77
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
138 shares @ 88.1¢·now 94.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$129.79
$8.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$5.60May 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$4.20May 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.40May 18, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$18.00May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by December 31?$11.37May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$19.78May 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.00May 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$22.70May 18, 04:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 17?$85.94May 17, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 17?$20.00May 17, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 17?$0.00May 17, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?$0.00May 17, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 17?$193.63May 17, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 17?$87.41May 17, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 17?$134.60May 17, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?$13.35May 17, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$29.00May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.86May 17, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$0.03May 17, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $6.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 03:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 84 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".