Insubstantial-Belligerency
0x59d7a43d0919cc9d800dbdbc545deefbfbd8ba8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$9.8K
Total PnL
$155.73
Realised
$62.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
4918 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$56.15
- NO
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1551 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.6K
$10.25
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
1300 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.3K
$24.55
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1015 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$898.26
$-5.07
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
530 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$527.62
$-1.75
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
500 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$491.25
$7.25
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
110 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$108.73
$1.92
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?
100 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 5, 2026$99.35
$-0.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$2.7KMay 18, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$2.8KMay 18, 05:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$2.8KMay 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$906.40May 17, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?$1.8KMay 17, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$8.46May 17, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$42.74May 17, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$4.0KMay 17, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$20.3KMay 17, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$20.2KMay 16, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$286.15May 16, 13:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$8.44May 15, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$42.70May 15, 07:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$129.43May 14, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$213.04May 14, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.6KMay 14, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 05:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".