Distinct-Method
0x59e4a00ef5f7329ff4b0aff86993089d3674c67b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-252.85
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
500 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$493.75
$-1.25
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
400 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$394.60
$18.60
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
400 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$361.99
$30.00
- NO
Will "In the Grey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
300 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$299.41
$7.78
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$191.00
$7.00
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
300 shares @ 84.2¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$185.85
$-66.85
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$185.00
$45.00
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
200 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$183.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
200 shares @ 77.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$165.00
$11.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 56.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$151.00
$39.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$100.00May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$495.00May 16, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$118.85May 16, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$19.36May 16, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$108.95May 16, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$128.52May 16, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$94.00May 15, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$69.23May 15, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.95May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$2.11May 14, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.71May 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.27May 12, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$5.00May 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$6.87May 12, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$13.17May 12, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$618.35May 11, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$574.97May 11, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$8.23May 11, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$88.85May 11, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$165.00May 11, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $58.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 17:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".