Mad-Waterwheel
0x59f7c7385a97b31786c9f6656ddec69d510db535
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$466.28
Total PnL
$-122.54
Realised
$2.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?
515 shares @ 92.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$466.28
$-12.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 13?
127 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 18?
122 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?
101 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-35.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 18?
59 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-21.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?
39 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 21?
34 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$227.55May 25, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?$17.27May 25, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?$12.24May 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$37.20May 24, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$26.86May 24, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on May 25?$220.59May 24, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$19.10May 24, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$15.67May 24, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$41.55May 24, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$15.67May 24, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$44.65May 24, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?$51.18May 24, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?$14.53May 24, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?$114.54May 24, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on May 25?$200.88May 24, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?$11.88May 24, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 24?$44.03May 24, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?$17.93May 24, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?$85.12May 24, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?$4.79May 24, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $34.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 12:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".