Full-Bow
0x59fee6ccaca4793228f09c83868df3442a8714fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$516.00
Total PnL
$-20.16
Realised
$15.12
Win rate
58%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
40 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$39.88
$1.13
- NO
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
10 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$9.99
$0.35
- NO
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next?
10 shares @ 89.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$9.99
$1.05
- YES
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 42.7¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.97
$3.58
- NO
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
10 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$9.95
$0.41
- NO
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.94
$0.18
- NO
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
10 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$9.80
$0.25
- NO
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
10 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$9.74
$0.12
- NO
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
12 shares @ 63.2¢·now 60.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.42
$-0.31
- YES
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 64.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.80
$-1.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.00May 18, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$5.00May 18, 04:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$0.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$0.35May 17, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$0.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?$0.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Álvarez win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections?$5.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?$0.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?$0.00May 17, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the WA-04 House seat?$5.63May 17, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$19.92May 17, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.01May 17, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.01May 17, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?$0.00May 17, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.15May 17, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.16May 17, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $4.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".