Sparse-Cookie
0x5a218c7ad04135830a45c41aaed7294df7809318
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$52.0K
Total PnL
$172.5K
Realised
$221.5K
Win rate
93%
182 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
18106 shares @ 48.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$11.3K
$2.6K
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
6231 shares @ 60.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.1K
$2.3K
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
6065 shares @ 65.9¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.9K
$-82.38
- YES
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
11456 shares @ 50.4¢·now 34.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$3.9K
$-1.9K
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
10164 shares @ 52.4¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$3.7K
$-1.6K
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
4050 shares @ 83.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.4K
$43.51
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
3560 shares @ 47.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.5K
$809.67
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
3014 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.5K
$-31.06
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
2457 shares @ 80.5¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 18, 2026$2.4K
$408.28
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
6009 shares @ 32.7¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$78.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$8.58May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Wheeler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$65.37May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$57.72May 18, 06:47 UTC
- CONVERSIONCZ # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?$31.00May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$14.57May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$0.58May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$0.60May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$6.60May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$6.60May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Young-choon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Do-eup win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jae-sung win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$26.76May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cho Kuk win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Seong-hoon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Soon-heon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$0.04May 18, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $15.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 182 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".