Sad-Catalysis
0x5a7b3328e8756579bfd364ba92c5c589c7bae9eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$164.4K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$8.6K
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
16509 shares @ 86.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.1K
$1.8K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?
15829 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.3K
$466.96
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
16439 shares @ 89.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.7K
$27.78
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
15000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.0K
$825.00
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
13698 shares @ 73.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.8K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
17091 shares @ 69.2¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.1K
$-725.09
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.3K
$350.00
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
9528 shares @ 89.6¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$8.8K
$223.56
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
10598 shares @ 35.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.3K
$3.5K
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
13926 shares @ 21.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.1K
$4.2K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$6.88May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$7.32May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in May?$0.05May 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$19.77May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$57.62May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$12.30May 17, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.17May 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$0.98May 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.36May 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.08May 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$107.59May 17, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in May?$0.04May 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.2KMay 17, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$12.90May 17, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$68.75May 17, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$88.01May 17, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$213.03May 17, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$270.00May 17, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $134.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".