Timely-Granola
0x5aa1ad6163ad7357fa6e22efac5188b3df88d9b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$46.6K
Total PnL
$-34.6K
Realised
$-105.39
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56529 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.4K
$91.18
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50049 shares @ 15.8¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.1K
$1.3K
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49657 shares @ 9.1¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.5K
$-5.96
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37327 shares @ 11.9¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.2K
$-196.27
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49452 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.1K
$-234.65
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28302 shares @ 7.8¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.3K
$135.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38462 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.0K
$-19.19
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7000 shares @ 24.5¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.7K
$-10.29
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
2934 shares @ 63.3¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$997.72
$-861.52
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5920 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$985.73
$-14.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.86May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$16.17May 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.13May 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.14May 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$500.00May 17, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$513.62May 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.22May 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$513.69May 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$513.69May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$308.68May 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$720.26May 17, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.5KMay 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.1KMay 17, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.1KMay 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.1KMay 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.1KMay 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.1KMay 17, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KMay 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.1KMay 17, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$32.8KMay 17, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $998.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".