Quarterly-Backpack
0x5c14eb6a6d5083c003daa8241ed559d2dc82cc49
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$465.7K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
95000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$79.2K
$31.7K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
65504 shares @ 84.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.3K
$4.1K
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
58188 shares @ 56.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.3K
$21.5K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
59950 shares @ 91.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$54.3K
$-654.77
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
61021 shares @ 53.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.0K
$21.6K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
89422 shares @ 63.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$53.2K
$-3.4K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
29208 shares @ 89.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.1K
$975.29
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
27863 shares @ 91.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.9K
$464.62
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
95000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.8K
$-31.7K
- NO
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
10600 shares @ 94.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.5K
$485.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$22.26May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$22.26May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$22.26May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$22.25May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$20.29May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$40.06May 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$4.20May 13, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$5.99May 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$16.50May 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$8.97May 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.20May 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$181.82May 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$197.95May 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$66.00May 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.90May 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$66.60May 13, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$195.00May 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$8.00May 13, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.16May 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$15.63May 13, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $856.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".