0x5c4f419cffb6d48e90d5d6659989dbb507e53338
0x5c4f419cffb6d48e90d5d6659989dbb507e53338
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$175.14
Total PnL
$-9.1K
Realised
$-464.87
Win rate
5%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
91 shares @ 10.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$91.49
$81.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$40.00
$30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$32.00
$22.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$6.50
$-43.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$5.00
$3.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.15
$-9.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
5000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-277.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
5000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-277.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60+ tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
5000 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-416.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from March 10 to March 11, 2026?
5000 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-416.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$1.14May 21, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$2.38May 21, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$0.95May 21, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$3.82May 21, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$0.95May 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$0.95May 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$0.95May 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$0.95May 21, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$0.95May 21, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$2.39May 21, 16:09 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 23 - May 25, 2026?$100.00May 21, 16:09 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$100.00May 21, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 21 to May 23, 2026?$9.52May 18, 16:11 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 21 - May 23, 2026?$100.00May 18, 16:08 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 21 to May 23, 2026?$100.00May 18, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$48.75May 17, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$2.00May 16, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$17.26May 16, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$1.90May 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?$0.95May 16, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $8.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 17:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".