Sneaky-Grandparent
0x5c53fd4b3415a60f696c7f4d321c4313c2f28c30
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$405.38
Total PnL
$-231.29
Realised
$68.47
Win rate
89%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6239 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$40.55
$-33.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7881 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$35.46
$-29.66
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5952 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$32.74
$-19.30
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4269 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$23.48
$-3.66
- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3909 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$21.50
$-8.88
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8084 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$20.21
$-48.69
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3508 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$19.30
$7.79
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3901 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$17.55
$-3.08
- YES
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2750 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$15.12
$-3.15
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp May 15, 2026$13.50
$8.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.07May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.00May 18, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.02May 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$5.20May 17, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$5.25May 17, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Jury" be said during Eurovision?$1.00May 17, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love" be said during Eurovision?$0.97May 17, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love" be said during Eurovision?$0.01May 16, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love" be said during Eurovision?$0.01May 16, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love" be said during Eurovision?$0.01May 16, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love" be said during Eurovision?$0.02May 16, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Points" be said 25+ times during Eurovision?$2.00May 16, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tonight" be said during Eurovision?$1.00May 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01May 16, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$7.00May 15, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.45May 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.06May 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$12.75May 14, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.03May 14, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01May 14, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".