Exhausted-Conservation
0x5ca3b1ca3686f65de269baab408c3c008473875d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.94
Total PnL
$-17.20
Realised
$-3.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.98
$0.03
- NO
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
1 shares @ 90.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$0.96
$0.06
- NO
Exact Score: AFC Ajax 2 - 0 FC Groningen?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-14.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: AFC Ajax 2 - 0 FC Groningen?$14.13May 21, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?$1.00May 21, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00May 21, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$1.00May 21, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMSC Corinthians Paulista vs. Barra FC: O/U 4.5$13.00May 21, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSC Corinthians Paulista vs. Barra FC: O/U 4.5$11.74May 14, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$372.37Mar 21, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$1.1KMar 21, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$299.64Mar 21, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$1.1KMar 21, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$13.30Mar 21, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$82.20Mar 21, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$96.45Mar 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$797.63Mar 21, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$660.18Mar 21, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$1.5KMar 21, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$79.89Mar 21, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$23.56Mar 21, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?$104.50Mar 21, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.5KMar 21, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $459.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".