Playful-Manservant
0x5ce3c43f2b2be1b51ec5f4920acbf7340733f779
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$12.3K
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$27.58
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
2859 shares @ 84.7¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.5K
$50.20
- NO
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
1171 shares @ 90.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$49.13
- YES
Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
1536 shares @ 62.1¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$90.99
- NO
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
1155 shares @ 79.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$88.33
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1542 shares @ 58.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$963.95
$63.46
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
1194 shares @ 35.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$907.70
$479.82
- NO
Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
841 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$782.51
$18.60
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$665.00
$165.00
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
1404 shares @ 37.6¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$533.47
$5.55
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
1400 shares @ 45.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$469.00
$-162.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$25.91May 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$29.98May 18, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMPGA Championship: Hole in One?$0.00May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$100.00May 18, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMPGA Championship: Hole in One?$58.29May 18, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$1.56May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$1.08May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$2.43May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$173.48May 18, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$84.40May 18, 01:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.12May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$3.61May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$59.22May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$99.54May 17, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$5.80May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$5.80May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$90.93May 17, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$43.50May 17, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$7.55May 17, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $37.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 10:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".