Ethical-Caribou
0x5d0f03cf1243a3e21262d6cf844795afd9fff0ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.1M
Total PnL
$177.6K
Realised
$29.6K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
918416 shares @ 78.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$849.5K
$130.8K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
184404 shares @ 66.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$137.4K
$15.0K
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
25000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.1K
$-125.00
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
20000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.3K
$304.28
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
16011 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$13.7K
$566.28
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
20000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.1K
$500.00
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
17887 shares @ 37.1¢·now 39.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.1K
$432.40
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20520 shares @ 27.8¢·now 29.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.1K
$437.47
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
3759 shares @ 40.4¢·now 45.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$173.71
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1500 shares @ 90.9¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$6.75
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin not meet?$0.46May 18, 02:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$11.39May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.90May 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.3KMay 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$17.11May 17, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.61May 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$6.13May 17, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$53.94May 17, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$113.90May 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?$0.97May 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$3.06May 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$4.87May 17, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$10.86May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.38May 17, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$61.29May 17, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$9.19May 17, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$23.63May 17, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.90May 17, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.90May 17, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $56.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".