Firsthand-Fratricide
0x5e2c9027e13db8cc4d3281c88acf7d7b824c5dc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-933.11
Realised
$170.12
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
220 shares @ 61.8¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$152.88
$16.98
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
130 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$128.48
$0.11
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
121 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.09
$3.57
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
125 shares @ 75.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$91.88
$-1.87
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
90 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$88.78
$1.66
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
130 shares @ 64.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$77.35
$-6.25
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
60 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.42
$1.20
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
60 shares @ 91.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.90
$0.10
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
130 shares @ 39.6¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$53.95
$2.45
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?
50 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$49.98
$0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$9.87May 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without failure?$49.76May 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$36.40May 18, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$19.72May 18, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$18.90May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?$19.04May 18, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$0.87May 18, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$19.74May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$17.85May 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 17, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Universitatea Craiova win Romania SuperLiga?$29.47May 17, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$13.00May 17, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$8.10May 17, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$4.52May 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$13.60May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$13.80May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$18.47May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$19.75May 17, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$13.13May 17, 18:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".