Pure-Threat
0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$88.0K
Total PnL
$-76.7K
Realised
$-20.7K
Win rate
64%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
50000 shares @ 42.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.3K
$12.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
20000 shares @ 72.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.5K
$2.1K
- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
9500 shares @ 80.4¢·now 90.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.6K
$972.01
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
8278 shares @ 60.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.3K
$289.55
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
2714 shares @ 5.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.5K
$2.4K
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4000 shares @ 73.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.4K
$-500.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 64.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.2K
$-984.97
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
6999 shares @ 52.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.1K
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2096 shares @ 55.3¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$423.95
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
1615 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.5K
$247.89
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.22May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 17, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$69.47May 16, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2.0KMay 16, 23:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 9, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$42.05May 8, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$748.56May 8, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$16.0KMay 8, 14:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 4, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $2.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".