Offbeat-Pole
0x5f8ec8b9c07547d93ac7206ef75c1b625e6021b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$67.4K
Total PnL
$-74.79
Realised
$-33.52
Win rate
15%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
50646 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$49.6K
$939.69
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
6676 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.6K
$1.62
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6677 shares @ 84.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.2K
$-441.83
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
3079 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.0K
$57.26
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6677 shares @ 15.6¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$392.91
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
51790 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$595.58
$-894.72
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
51709 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$232.69
$-66.96
- YES
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
254 shares @ 20.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$201.93
$150.08
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
340 shares @ 29.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$198.90
$100.30
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
340 shares @ 33.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$141.10
$28.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.73May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.73May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.73May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.74May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.74May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.74May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.28May 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$6.55May 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.0KMay 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.04May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.6KMay 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$11.76May 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.17May 12, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$6.52May 12, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$681.47May 12, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.46May 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.39May 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.1KMay 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.52May 12, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$790.88May 12, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $161.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 14:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".