Lumpy-Rating
0x5fe1a6276f1cde74becf43cc070073506734d67c
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$32.61
Total PnL
$-0.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
18 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.29
$0.29
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 68.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$3.30
$0.30
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 32.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$2.29
$-0.71
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.73
$0.73
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.63
$0.63
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1 shares @ 77.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$1.03May 19, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$1.01May 19, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.38May 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00Apr 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00Apr 13, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 1, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Apr 1, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.00Apr 1, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.04Apr 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$2.70Apr 1, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Mar 24, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Mar 24, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Mar 24, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00Mar 24, 10:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".