Tough-Butcher
0x610d7c7bc507793cf55fb497d2620cc09d236c37
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$70.84
Total PnL
$-105.00
Realised
$-1.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
55 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$48.51
$-0.82
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
19 shares @ 59.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$12.21
$1.13
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$9.83
$0.21
- YES
Will Maddox Dagenais be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
358 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.18
$-3.52
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play for Seattle Sounders FC next?
47 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.12
$-1.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
41 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-28.25
- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
39 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-27.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
21 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
18 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.53
- YES
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
17 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$9.62May 18, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$23.29May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$26.95May 18, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$14.00May 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5$10.16May 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$9.01May 18, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$3.97May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$3.51May 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$2.45May 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$4.98May 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$26.64May 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$6.02May 17, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$9.33May 17, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?$27.52May 17, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$30.97May 17, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: SHISHKA vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs$37.08May 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$4.99May 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$49.33May 17, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELL MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry$39.49May 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry$24.23May 17, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $17.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".