Keen-Toll
0x617a80402d374a6b1ed17279ac32be36eba7b4f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$3.33
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
3133 shares @ 97.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.1K
$4.70
- NO
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?
73 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$72.28
$0.25
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.64
$-0.96
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?
8 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.61
$-0.08
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.97
$-0.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$3.1KMay 14, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$2.6KMay 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$415.00May 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$2.00May 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$412.21May 11, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.8KMay 11, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$798.88May 11, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMFed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?$0.00May 11, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$0.00May 11, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 11, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMFed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?$130.00May 11, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$392.64May 11, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.5KMay 11, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?$19.52May 5, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?$12.98May 3, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$484.08Apr 29, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$391.86Apr 29, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?$72.08Apr 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?$129.60Apr 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?$19.60Apr 28, 23:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $240.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 13:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 16:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".