Tense-Break
0x6291edb6079eb78d52814340fdf748a2d279cc47
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$17.5K
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-640.20
Win rate
58%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
7076 shares @ 60.9¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$-770.58
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3705 shares @ 53.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.4K
$379.00
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2711 shares @ 47.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.7K
$414.36
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
3151 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.2K
$-14.97
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2362 shares @ 41.2¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$980.13
$7.44
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10037 shares @ 5.2¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$858.20
$337.50
- YES
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
1015 shares @ 50.5¢·now 65.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$659.61
$147.14
- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
512 shares @ 65.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$432.37
$96.01
- YES
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
724 shares @ 52.4¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$347.30
$-31.94
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
500 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$324.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$325.00May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$573.35May 18, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$917.57May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$87.42May 18, 03:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.62May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$5.42May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$1.96May 17, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$22.14May 17, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$6.15May 17, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$8.27May 17, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$2.48May 17, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liban Mohamed be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?$3.88May 17, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$16.00May 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liban Mohamed be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?$1.25May 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.52May 17, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?$0.18May 17, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verlina Reynolds-Jackson be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?$4.50May 17, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$35.10May 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Boafo be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?$60.43May 17, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $68.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 02:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".