Likely-Feeling
0x629cca3ce95f31f68f00a9f5b5b5641aa9dba4cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$476.47
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$-363.50
Win rate
21%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
300 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 21, 2026$299.55
$8.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET
110 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$109.96
$2.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?
90 shares @ 72.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$66.95
$1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
300 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-53.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
280 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-271.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
260 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-252.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
235 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-227.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
222 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-215.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
222 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-210.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
220 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$11.84May 21, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET$49.00May 21, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET$26.46May 21, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$100.00May 21, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET$31.70May 21, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$291.61May 21, 02:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.39May 21, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$34.28May 21, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$4.45May 21, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$7.28May 21, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$7.88May 21, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$19.60May 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$19.60May 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$19.60May 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$19.60May 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$6.86May 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$12.74May 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$1.60May 21, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$2.71May 21, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9PM ET$4.09May 21, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $26.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 03:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".