Quiet-Draw
0x62fd1270da0ff0674885544dc3778cbf2bbf139c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.20
Total PnL
$15.89
Realised
$17.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.44
$-0.01
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
1 shares @ 74.3¢·now 92.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$19.3KMay 15, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.2KMay 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$17.9KMay 15, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$17.9KMay 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$157.00May 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$18.0KMay 15, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$18.0KMay 15, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$252.00May 15, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$151.68May 15, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$18.1KMay 15, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$18.3KMay 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$470.78May 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$18.5KMay 15, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$18.8KMay 15, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$19.0KMay 15, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$19.0KMay 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$44.21May 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$19.1KMay 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$19.0KMay 15, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$118.00May 15, 12:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".