Expensive-Thumb
0x631c2b93ff03c21d29b2b73af4ff965e88ea450f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$58.1K
Total PnL
$23.06
Realised
$-6.73
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.7K
$15.7K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.3K
$-15.7K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
8602 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.1K
$107.54
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
68 shares @ 10.6¢·now 10.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.27
$0.07
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
12 shares @ 18.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.86
$0.62
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by June 5?
23 shares @ 50.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.67
$-10.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 7?
751 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-53.60
- YES
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 12000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?
460 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- YES
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 11000 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?
208 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Figure's humanoid robot push at least 10500 packages during the official Figure livestream before the 8:00:00 time mark?
200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$50.0KMay 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$2.24May 18, 04:46 UTC
- YIELD$2.05May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.52May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.12May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.12May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$0.11May 16, 21:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".