Weary-Establishment
0x63ddaa6e08d1a4e51d1deb457a269b06c3b33b0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$21.43
Total PnL
$-41.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.98
$-0.02
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 93.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.05
$0.05
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 93.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?$1.00May 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?$2.00May 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00May 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$5.00May 22, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$2.00May 22, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$1.00May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.01May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$1.04May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$1.20May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.20May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 10?$58.88May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 9?$100.20May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 10?$100.34May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 10?$100.39May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 9?$101.01May 22, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 9?$200.20May 22, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 10?$58.76Mar 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 10?$100.00Mar 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 10?$100.00Mar 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 9?$200.00Mar 8, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $70.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".