Sour-Hamburger
0x63fa4b7f50047a621b34e820b396fddbb948cbc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$47.56
Total PnL
$-31.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
13 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.00
$0.00
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
13 shares @ 84.1¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.33
$-0.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 42.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.39
$-6.61
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.46
$-4.54
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
22 shares @ 88.9¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.17
$-14.83
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.48
$-1.52
- YES
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.85
$-3.15
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$10.00Apr 23, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 23, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMBLS delays another CPI release before 2027?$0.00Apr 23, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?$0.00Apr 23, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$0.00Apr 23, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February?$0.00Apr 23, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Broncos win the AFC Championship?$0.00Apr 23, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.06Apr 23, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$0.00Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.03Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.00Apr 23, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$9.52Apr 23, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.65Apr 23, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$10.00Apr 23, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$5.00Apr 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLKaty Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?$5.52Apr 12, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00Apr 12, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 13:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".