Black-And-White-Consensus
0x641511b506c0dd738b21ffe1c120061afdccf1ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$36.81
Total PnL
$-17.17
Realised
$0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
1 shares @ 93.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will María Jesús Montero be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.01
$0.02
- NO
Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.01May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.05May 16, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.08May 16, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.02May 16, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.02May 16, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.00May 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.02May 16, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$2.02May 16, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.00May 16, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.00May 16, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?$1.01May 16, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rakesh Christian advance from the California Lieutenant Governor Primary in 2026?$1.00May 15, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.02May 15, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.00May 15, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.67May 15, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.04May 15, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.02May 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.00May 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?$0.99May 15, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.02May 15, 04:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".