Afraid-Load
0x648acfe2fce5968d45caa6a2d9b492ef040a1478
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$88.13
Total PnL
$13.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
37 shares @ 39.7¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$26.89
$12.25
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
43 shares @ 35.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$17.79
$2.79
- NO
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$12.22
$2.22
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$7.21
$-2.79
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.94
$-0.06
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.79
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5.11May 12, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government?$10.15May 11, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$5.10May 6, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$5.00May 2, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$10.00May 2, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$10.13May 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.10Apr 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$39.24Apr 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.00Apr 23, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.00Apr 23, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$33.74Apr 23, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.00Apr 16, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$54.77Feb 1, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$57.32Feb 1, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$57.10Feb 1, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$58.00Jan 21, 05:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $25.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 05:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".