Relieved-Cry
0x64befd4360723d4fd0ad845b99dd69f14b3ac653
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
195
Open notional
$14.8K
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$3.6K
Win rate
61%
147 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 195- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4537 shares @ 39.3¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.4K
$-352.05
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1016 shares @ 72.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$655.15
$-81.09
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2546 shares @ 58.4¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$521.98
$-963.79
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1069 shares @ 43.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$475.66
$13.46
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
700 shares @ 58.9¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$444.21
$32.28
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
438 shares @ 86.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$383.23
$5.45
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
371 shares @ 85.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$370.81
$53.07
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
618 shares @ 54.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$361.53
$24.54
- YES
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
623 shares @ 34.2¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$327.11
$114.20
- YES
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
344 shares @ 69.2¢·now 93.7¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$322.33
$84.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$6.36May 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$137.66May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$71.26May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$66.00May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$138.69May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$6.84May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$26.60May 18, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$6.85May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$124.00May 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.75May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$10.30May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$8.99May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.02May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$0.45May 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$8.82May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.10May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.30May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.43May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$13.68May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$7.80May 18, 04:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $32.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 147 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".