Detailed-Challenge
0x64c8ec47e1f5a367f234a74f8176d805e87173ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$35.9K
Total PnL
$-171.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.9K
$975.00
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
10000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.8K
$650.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
10000 shares @ 82.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.7K
$-450.00
- NO
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
5000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.0K
$367.50
- NO
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
2654 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.6K
$153.94
- YES
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
1000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$635.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will Brad Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?
181 shares @ 92.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$174.39
$7.15
- YES
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
110 shares @ 28.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$32.45
$1.65
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2003892 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-172.4K
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.86May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$251.11May 15, 02:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.86May 15, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.01May 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.87May 14, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.55May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$65.86May 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$21.30May 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$111.58May 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$16.80May 13, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$14.00May 13, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$7.34May 13, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$7.10May 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$340.09May 13, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$31.81May 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$4.97May 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$8.02May 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$19.18May 13, 18:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $110.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".