Busy-Apple
0x64c9b355ff1ab5f42a790a963a4bf96061dfd4a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$19.30
Total PnL
$-4.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
5 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- YES
Will "China" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$1.98
$-0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.01May 17, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$2.05May 13, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$2.11May 13, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "China" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?$2.00May 13, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.01May 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?$2.00May 6, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?$2.01May 2, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$2.02May 2, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.11May 2, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.02May 2, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.14May 2, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?$2.00May 2, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$2.05Apr 29, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$2.10Apr 29, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?$2.00Apr 29, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Apr 27, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?$2.00Apr 23, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$2.00Apr 20, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$2.01Apr 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 18, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".