Sparkling-Sunflower
0x656c17cb6045ebcbf7981459dc4f440e0db8af94
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-766.59
Realised
$84.65
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
1419 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$1.4K
$454.08
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
1005 shares @ 59.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$698.37
$105.42
- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
574 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$574.00
$109.06
- UNDER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
606 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$384.81
$-9.09
- NO
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
540 shares @ 65.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$380.70
$29.70
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
176 shares @ 52.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$120.56
$29.04
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
183 shares @ 51.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$18.30
$-75.03
- NO
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?
14 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.00
$3.22
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
61 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.23
$-1.52
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.23
$-2.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$464.94Apr 23, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$129.58Apr 21, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$25.96Apr 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$28.38Apr 21, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$30.80Apr 21, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "China" during the next White House press briefing?$302.10Apr 14, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$93.44Apr 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$165.71Apr 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$178.12Apr 13, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$114.79Apr 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$964.92Apr 12, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?$114.79Apr 12, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$819.84Apr 12, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$275.08Apr 12, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$321.08Apr 12, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$11.70Apr 12, 09:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$38.22Apr 12, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$147.81Apr 12, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$12.87Apr 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$19.14Apr 12, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $227.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".