Vague-Venison
0x668d85d791049bf0100e557a72c7ed4dc97297d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$49.0K
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$-564.08
Win rate
72%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.2K
$4.7K
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
12680 shares @ 94.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.1K
$122.15
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3396 shares @ 91.8¢·now 86.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.9K
$-193.33
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.8K
$-4.7K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2700 shares @ 85.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$216.71
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10305 shares @ 1.7¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.9K
$1.7K
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10341 shares @ 1.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$1.5K
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10441 shares @ 1.8¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.2K
$998.77
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
1200 shares @ 84.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$1.1K
$96.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$976.51
$476.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$600.00May 18, 05:59 UTC
- YIELD$3.15May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$172.00May 17, 17:20 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0KMay 17, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$14.79May 17, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$322.41May 17, 03:06 UTC
- YIELD$3.09May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$91.00May 17, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$500.00May 16, 07:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.09May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$185.00May 15, 04:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.87May 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$3.18May 15, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.31May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$1.12May 14, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$4.81May 14, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$7.22May 14, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$188.00May 14, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$5.34May 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$3.20May 14, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $76.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".