Wilted-Airfield-Diaphragm
0x67790a06dd5a6f8213feb998b1b83f86be492ff6
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$32.7K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$94.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
9203 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.7K
$-44.19
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
7175 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$6.2K
$-38.31
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5575 shares @ 73.9¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$-331.23
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
3655 shares @ 93.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$-23.78
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2578 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$116.02
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2295 shares @ 93.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$-4.57
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1906 shares @ 94.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.8K
$20.17
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1130 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$10.58
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
1050 shares @ 95.2¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$15.42
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
778 shares @ 91.2¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$725.58
$15.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$10.03May 18, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$50.18May 18, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$30.24May 18, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?$25.13May 18, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$30.09May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$30.09May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$200.00May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$1000.00May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?$1000.00May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$2.2KMay 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?$10.09May 18, 03:08 UTC
- YIELD$1.10May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$126.44May 17, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$56.00May 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$50.43May 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$110.43May 17, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)$106.38May 17, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5$30.41May 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?$20.14May 17, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)$100.18May 17, 10:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $163.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 17:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".