Single-Excuse
0x67a9caf3a46de80dfe46295f7241ebaf0759c417
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-38.08
Realised
$321.36
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
3956 shares @ 23.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$573.60
$-369.91
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1786 shares @ 13.2¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$384.10
$148.81
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1043 shares @ 32.3¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$329.17
$-7.89
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
384 shares @ 34.8¢·now 58.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$223.23
$89.75
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
3000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$165.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1600 shares @ 4.5¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$136.81
$64.80
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$94.50
$3.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
211 shares @ 29.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.09
$17.93
- YES
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
1896 shares @ 13.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$48.15
$-202.39
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
199 shares @ 26.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.84
$-29.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$91.00May 17, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?$25.79May 17, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$62.26May 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$167.90May 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$88.26May 17, 01:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$360.05May 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$26.76May 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$26.67May 16, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$34.29May 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$34.20May 16, 22:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$110.20May 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$105.25May 13, 17:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$0.00May 12, 20:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 12, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $94.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".