Naive-News
0x67f2764adb971bb90bc05868f60db689b8196a72
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$488.30
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- SRI LANKA
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
887 shares @ 89.9¢·now 78.4¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$695.41
$-102.00
- YES
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
775 shares @ 20.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$364.25
$209.25
- SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers
422 shares @ 33.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$211.00
$71.74
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
40 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.80
$2.00
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
43 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$34.40
$0.43
- YES
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
59 shares @ 30.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$32.57
$14.97
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$24.78
$4.62
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
79 shares @ 13.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.22
$11.01
- YES
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?
47 shares @ 57.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.33
$-13.34
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.10
$-14.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CD Tolima win on 2026-04-05?$109.25Apr 23, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$48.72Apr 21, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$97.30Apr 21, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5$757.57Apr 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$81.96Apr 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$43.20Apr 13, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?$1.3KApr 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$363.00Apr 11, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$33.60Apr 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$41.40Apr 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$71.61Apr 11, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$73.78Apr 10, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$503.70Apr 10, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouthern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers$139.26Apr 10, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$28.01Apr 9, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$12.74Apr 9, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$91.12Apr 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$179.22Apr 9, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$36.27Apr 9, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$205.90Apr 9, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $217.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".