Probable-Farrow
0x68146921df11eab44296dc4e58025ca84741a9e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$63.72
Total PnL
$-17.1K
Realised
$28.0K
Win rate
66%
104 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6489 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.96
$-176.83
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6489 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.73
$-193.05
- YES
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
16952 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.48
$-239.28
- YES
Will Desire Doue be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
2309 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.46
$-28.92
- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3877 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.94
$-55.93
- YES
Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3877 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.94
$-55.93
- YES
Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?
3877 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.94
$-55.93
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2502 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.25
$-76.60
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2454 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.23
$-86.40
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2454 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.23
$-86.40
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.36May 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$13.18May 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$59.73May 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$136.17May 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$52.26May 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$298.95May 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.86May 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$170.35May 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$14.74May 7, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.96May 7, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silkeborg IF win on 2026-04-22?$0.13May 7, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)$0.18May 7, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?$0.38May 7, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?$0.52May 7, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-02?$10.14May 7, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-02?$25.00May 7, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100.10May 7, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?$100.42May 7, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?$129.81May 7, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-02?$272.18May 7, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $34.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 104 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".